The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Logista Integral, S.A. (BME:LOG) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Logista Integral has an accrual ratio of -0.32 for the year to September 2026. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of €454m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €282.0m. Logista Integral's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Happily for shareholders, Logista Integral produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Logista Integral's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also good to see that its earnings per share have improved a bit over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Logista Integral and we think they deserve your attention.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Logista Integral's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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