Investors were disappointed with Sunlite Recycling Industries Limited's (NSE:SUNLITE) recent earnings release. We did some digging and found some underlying numbers that are worrying.
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Sunlite Recycling Industries has an accrual ratio of 0.39 for the year to September 2026. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹4.5m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹609.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₹4.5m, this year, indicates high risk. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sunlite Recycling Industries.
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Sunlite Recycling Industries increased the number of shares on issue by 27% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Sunlite Recycling Industries' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
Sunlite Recycling Industries has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 738% in that time. But EPS was only up 183% per year, in the exact same period. And the 183% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 139% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Sunlite Recycling Industries can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
In conclusion, Sunlite Recycling Industries has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Sunlite Recycling Industries' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Sunlite Recycling Industries, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Sunlite Recycling Industries is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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