The wheat complex is posting mixed trade on Monday, as the spring wheat is posting modest strength. Chicago SRW futures saw weakness, with contracts down 2 ¼ to 4 ½ cents. KC HRW futures closed with contracts steady to 1 ½ cents on the day. MPLS spring wheat was up 1 ½ to 6 ¼ cents across the board on the session
NASS Crop Progress data showed 89% of the US winter wheat crop planted as of 11/8, 1% shy of the 5-year average. Emergence was at 76%, 2% head of the normal pace. Condition ratings were improved by 5% to 49% good/excellent, with a Brugler500 index score at 337, up 10 points on the week.
Monday morning’s Export Inspections report showed just 248,543 MT (9.132 mbu) of wheat shipped in the week of 11/5. That was more 2.4 times the previous week but 14.72% below the same week last year. Vietnam was the largest destination of 68,469 MT, with 55,847 MT shipped to Mexico and 52,344 MT to Nigeria. The marketing year total is now 7.804 MMT (286.75 mbu) of wheat shipped since June 1, which is 35.6% below the same period last year.
USDA’s monthly WASDE report will be released on Tuesday, with Bloomberg survey of analysts looking for US wheat stocks to be raised by 4 mbu to 744 mbu.
USDA’s annual baseline projections were released on Monday showing an arm chair projection of 44 million wheat acres for 2027/28, up from 42.5 million this year if realized.
APK-Inform estimate the Ukrainian 2026 wheat crop at 26.5 MMT, up 1 MMT from the month prior’s number. SovEcon estimates the 2026/27 Russian wheat export number at 36 MMT, down 0.7 MMT from their prior number.
Algeria issued a tender for wheat imports with a deadline for offers of November 11. Turkey also issued a tender for 400,000 MT of wheat with a deadline of November 17.
Dec 26 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.88, down 3 1/4 cents,
Mar 27 CBOT Wheat closed at $6.00 1/2, down 2 1/4 cents,
Dec 26 KCBT Wheat closed at $6.32 1/2, unch,
Mar 27 KCBT Wheat closed at $6.39 1/4, down 1/2 cent,
Dec 26 MIAX Wheat closed at $6.22, up 6 cents,
Mar 27 MIAX Wheat closed at $6.36 3/4, up 5 1/2 cents,