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    Republic Services (RSG) Could Be 3% Below Fair Value After Earnings And Buyback

    Simply Wall St·11/09/2026 09:23:09
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    Republic Services earnings and buyback move draw investor focus

    Republic Services (RSG) is back in the spotlight after reporting third quarter results that showed higher sales and net income versus last year, alongside a new multi billion dollar share repurchase authorization.

    Recent action around Republic Services has been driven by this cluster of October announcements, with the share price up 13.82% over 30 days and 14.77% over 90 days. The 1 year total shareholder return of 22.39% and 5 year total shareholder return of 94.25% highlight long term compounding as investors factor in both earnings progress and ongoing capital returns.

    Scan other waste and environmental service stocks showing similar earnings momentum and capital return stories with our curated 31 resilient stocks with low risk scores as a potential hunting ground for resilient operators.

    Republic Services now combines steady earnings, a fresh US$5.0b buyback and a rising share price near US$246.85. This reflects a strong business. The open question is whether that strength is already fully priced in.

    Most Popular Narrative: 3% Undervalued

    On the analyst consensus Narrative on Simply Wall St, Republic Services screens as modestly undervalued, with a fair value of $253.38 versus the last close at $246.85. This frames the new $5.0b buyback and recent earnings in a tighter valuation band.

    Republic Services is advancing in digital and AI based capabilities, with pricing and routing through the RISE platform and customer service tools expected to deliver at least US$100 million of annual benefit by 2028, which could support higher margins and earnings power if the targeted efficiencies materialise.

    See why 25 investors see Republic Services as 3% undervalued.

    Result: Fair Value of $253.38 (UNDERVALUED)

    Still, the Republic Services narrative could be knocked off course if labor disputes escalate into disruptions, or if contract losses like Seattle recyclables signal wider competitive pressure.

    Find out about the key risks to this Republic Services narrative.

    Next Steps

    Mixed signals in this Republic Services story, with both risks and rewards in play, mean the real edge comes from reading the data yourself and deciding quickly what it implies for your own thesis. Start with 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

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