5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week in the red. The benchmark index fell 0.5% to 9,020.8 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rise

The Australian share market looks set for a decent start to the week despite a mixed session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 20 points higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.45%, but the S&P 500 rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq jumped 1.1%.

Oil prices rise

ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a positive session after oil prices edged higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.35% to US$90.83 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up slightly to US$98.32 a barrel. This couldn't stop oil prices from recording a sizeable weekly decline on US-Iran peace hopes.

Buy Netwealth shares 

Bell Potter has named Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) as an ASX 200 share to buy this week, according to The Bull. The broker said: "Investors have punished the share price in response to weaker net flows, a one-off institutional outflow and a class action provision. Flows have slowed before, notably in full year 2023, and growth returned within about 12 months. The business is still winning market share, with more than $139 billion in funds under administration in the first quarter of 2027 and more than 4000 advisers on the platform. At current levels, the share price looks like an attractive entry point for long term investors."

Gold price falls

It could be a subdued start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price fell on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was down 0.95% to US$4,074.9 an ounce. This was driven by the release of strong US payrolls data, which boosted the US dollar and bond yields.

ANZ FY 2026 results

The ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price will be in focus on Monday when the big four bank releases its FY 2026 results. The market consensus estimate is for a cash profit around $7.5 billion. This is expected to underpin earnings per share of $2.57 and a dividend of $1.66 per share for the 12 months.

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The Motley Fool's purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool's free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson. 2026