Earnings Report: Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima Missed Revenue Estimates By 6.8%

Last week, you might have seen that Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima (NYSE:LOMA) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.1% to US$8.73 in the past week. Revenues came in 6.8% below expectations, at AR$270b. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of AR$208 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Following the latest results, Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima's five analysts are now forecasting revenues of AR$1.17t in 2027. This would be a sizeable 38% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 89% to AR$1,159. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of AR$1.17t and earnings per share (EPS) of AR$1,481 in 2027. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the large cut to new EPS forecasts.

View our latest analysis for Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima

The consensus price target held steady at US$14.00, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$15.00 and the most bearish at US$11.50 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 29% annualised growth to the end of 2027 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 22% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 7.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also view our analysis of Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima's balance sheet, and whether we think Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.

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