Koninklijke Vopak N.V. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Koninklijke Vopak N.V. (AMS:VPK) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.6% to €53.00 in the week after its latest second-quarter results. Revenues missed analyst forecasts badly, coming in 29% below estimates at €344m. Equally surprising was the fact that statutory earnings per share of €0.89 beat analyst estimates by 16%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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Following last week's earnings report, Koninklijke Vopak's four analysts are forecasting 2026 revenues to be €1.36b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to plummet 26% to €3.39 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of €3.35 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Koninklijke Vopak

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €61.00, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Koninklijke Vopak at €68.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €48.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 0.9% by the end of 2026. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 0.5% over the last five years. Yet aggregate analyst estimates for other companies in the industry suggest that industry revenues are forecast to decline 4.0% per year. So it's pretty clear that Koninklijke Vopak's revenues are expected to shrink slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, they made no changes to their revenue estimates - and they expect it to perform better than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €61.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Koninklijke Vopak going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Koninklijke Vopak , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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