It's been a pretty great week for Chemplast Sanmar Limited (NSE:CHEMPLASTS) shareholders, with its shares surging 12% to ₹212 in the week since its latest quarterly results. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Chemplast Sanmar's four analysts is for revenues of ₹49.4b in 2027. This reflects a decent 9.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to ameliorate slightly, reducing to ₹21.25. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹49.4b and losses of ₹21.25 per share in 2027.
Check out our latest analysis for Chemplast Sanmar
The analysts trimmed their valuations, with the average price target falling 7.4% to ₹277, with the ongoing losses seemingly weighing on sentiment, despite no real changes to the earnings forecasts. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Chemplast Sanmar at ₹320 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹224. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Chemplast Sanmar's past performance and to peers in the same industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Chemplast Sanmar is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 19% annualised growth until the end of 2027. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 7.1% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 12% per year. So it looks like Chemplast Sanmar is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Chemplast Sanmar. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Chemplast Sanmar going out to 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here.
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Chemplast Sanmar , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
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