Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Quick Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:4318) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2026, QuickLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥2.8b during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of JP¥4.21b. QuickLtd's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
View our latest analysis for QuickLtd
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of QuickLtd.
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that QuickLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth JP¥1.1b in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
Summing up, QuickLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue QuickLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that QuickLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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