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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December is 31.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 68.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until January next year is 27%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 63.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.5%.

Zhitongcaijing·11/05/2026 23:21:05
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December is 31.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 68.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until January next year is 27%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 63.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.5%.