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To be a shareholder in Merchants Bancorp, you need to buy into a fairly simple idea. This is a specialized lender that leans on multi-family mortgage banking, warehousing lines and traditional banking to convert niche lending expertise into steady net interest income. The latest quarter fits that story. Net interest income of US$144.17 million and net income of US$105.18 million, combined with record tangible book value per share, show the model currently throwing off substantial earnings while remaining capital light relative to many asset heavy industries.
In the short term, the key swing factors look operational rather than headline driven. Charge offs of US$3.9 million in the third quarter, far below the prior year level, ease immediate credit stress but do not remove the fact that Merchants Bancorp carries a relatively low allowance for bad loans at 46%. Investors are also weighing a P/E of 8.6x against slower forecast earnings and revenue growth than the broader US market. That mix of strong recent execution, perceived value and modest growth expectations is exactly where the new earnings beat and 6.9% share price move fit in.
Even so, there is a specific pressure point inside Merchants Bancorp's lending profile that could change this picture if ...
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