Eltel stock closed at SEK16.7 on Friday, leaving investors weighing a flat near term against a much punchier earnings story. The Q3 2026 report landed with a clean headline. Adjusted EBITA reached €11m with a 5.6% margin, flagged as the strongest level since 2015. That is where the real action is. The market has fretted over a 14.4% drop in the past month, yet the multi quarter picture now shows a business grinding out higher profitability while carrying a compressed valuation and a still demanding balance sheet.
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Fans of the Eltel story argue that higher value projects and better execution can hard wire structurally stronger profitability.
"Accelerating investments in power grids and renewable energy, including solar PV and high voltage substations, position Eltel to win higher margin turnkey projects that can drive sustained revenue growth and support expansion toward its 5 percent adjusted EBITA margin target."
Q3 adjusted EBITA of €11m at a 5.6% margin shows that the 5% threshold is no longer theoretical. Finland’s 10.3% profitability and the record €1.7b order book, helped by contracts like Vattenfall and KONSTANT, point to mix shifting toward the types of turnkey work this thesis depends on.
The worry list focuses on whether bigger projects, concentrated customers and early stage turnarounds could unwind progress just as margins recover.
"The stronger focus on large, capital intensive projects, combined with existing working capital consumption and leverage of 3.5 times, increases balance sheet risk."
Q3 leverage of 3.1x and negative net working capital of €18m indicate some easing in financial strain, although the ratio still sits above the 1.5x to 2.5x goal. At the same time, the long term Telenor and Vattenfall agreements deepen customer concentration, so contract execution and payment discipline remain central to this risk case.
The price and this Narrative do not agree. → Uncover what this Narrative says Eltel is actually worth.
Eltel just showed how a cleaner earnings print can sit alongside a bruised share price. The real opportunity sits in finding companies that could be mispriced before sentiment catches up.
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