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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week is 89.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 10.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 17.7%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.4%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/26/2026 22:09:07
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week is 89.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 10.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 17.7%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.4%.