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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 9.9%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 76.0%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.2%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/21/2026 22:09:22
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 9.9%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 76.0%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.2%.