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Learn Why The Bull Case For Snap (SNAP) Could Change Following External Funding Push

Simply Wall St·10/18/2026 07:32:51
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  • In early October 2026, Blue Duck Capital issued an open letter urging Snap’s board to raise external capital for its Specs AR glasses, separate Specs spending from the main business, and clarify the value of this unit for shareholders.
  • The proposal highlights how Snap’s heavy Specs investment may be weighing on free cash flow and masking the economics of its core advertising and subscription operations, which Blue Duck argues could be valued more clearly on a sum-of-the-parts basis.
  • We will look at how Snap’s investment narrative could shift if Specs secures outside funding and reduces strain on the core business.
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Snap Investment Narrative Recap

To own Snap, you essentially need to believe its nearly 1 billion monthly users, AR tools and subscriptions can support a healthier, self funding ad and consumer platform. The big near term swing factor is execution around earnings on 4 November, especially any evidence of improving monetization and progress toward profitability while managing spending.

The largest risk remains that high costs and intense competition from Meta, Alphabet and TikTok keep Snap stuck in low margin territory despite revenue growth. Blue Duck’s proposal around Specs could change how expenses are presented, but until any board decision is announced, the operating picture and key short term catalysts remain broadly unchanged.

The October 6 open letter from Blue Duck Capital directly targets how Snap funds its Specs AR glasses. It argues for separate external capital and a clearer valuation of that unit. For you as a shareholder, the operational question is whether Specs continues to draw heavily on cash that could otherwise support ad systems and subscriptions.

If Specs spending is ring fenced or partially funded by outside investors, the ad and subscription engine might show cleaner free cash flow trends over time. If nothing changes, Snap still faces the same pressure to scale Snapchat+, Lens+ and AR ads while carrying Specs within the current cost base. The upcoming earnings update is where management can show how it is balancing that trade off in practice.

Analysts’ base case for Snap points to revenues of US$8.1b and earnings of US$384.0 million by 2029, built on an assumed 10.0% yearly increase in sales and an earnings swing of about US$793.9 million from an earnings loss of US$409.9 million today.

Uncover why Snap's fair value indicates a 20% potential upside to its current price before that discount starts to close.

NYSE:SNAP 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:SNAP 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

One catalyst the most optimistic Snap analysts lean on is Specs itself. Before this Blue Duck letter, they were pencilling in revenue of about US$9.1b and earnings of US$1.8b by 2029. You can see how far that sits from consensus. Use this activism as a prompt to compare those bullish assumptions with your own.

Explore 5 other Snap fair value estimates, including one that suggests potential upside of as much as 169% from the current price.

The Verdict Is Yours

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Looking For More Ideas Beyond Snap?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.