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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) Could Be 23% Undervalued After Its AI Product Push

Simply Wall St·10/11/2026 06:27:33
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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) just saw its share price jump 8.2% during a broad software infrastructure rally, with traders also reacting to new Agent Droplets that package AI agent tools into predictable monthly plans.

DigitalOcean Holdings now trades at US$134.82, and the latest 8.8% 1 day share price return builds on a 9.7% 30 day and 9.3% 90 day share price gain. The 1 year total shareholder return of 261.5% and 3 year total shareholder return of almost 5x point to strong momentum around its AI focused product roll out.

Scan other AI infrastructure plays showing similar momentum to DigitalOcean Holdings by running the hand picked 92 AI infrastructure stocks in the same session.

DigitalOcean Holdings now trades almost 30% below the average analyst target, even after this AI driven surge. Is that a sign of excessive market caution, or a fair response to the risks around its rapid expansion and profit profile?

Most Popular Narrative: 23% Undervalued

Against a last close of $134.82, the most followed narrative for DigitalOcean Holdings points to a fair value of $175.20, which frames a clear gap between current pricing and what that narrative implies.

The main thing that has to go right is that DigitalOcean maintains momentum in higher layer AI inference and agent services, including continued uptake of open-weight models and core cloud attachment, so that recently added capacity and financing translate into durable, high quality ARR per megawatt.

See why 38 investors see DigitalOcean Holdings as 23% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $175.20 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, heavy recent insider selling, along with analyst assumptions for shrinking profit margins and far higher future P/E multiples, could quickly puncture that 23% undervalued story.

Find out about the key risks to this DigitalOcean Holdings narrative.

Another View: What The P/E Ratio Implies For DigitalOcean Holdings

There is a very different message coming from plain old earnings multiples. DigitalOcean Holdings trades on a P/E of 67.4x, compared with 22.4x for the US IT sector, while the fair ratio is estimated at 21.5x. That puts the stock well above both peers and the level the market could eventually move toward. This raises the question of how much valuation risk you are really comfortable carrying.

For a closer look at how this earnings multiple stacks up against peers and that fair ratio, and what that gap could mean for future returns, See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:DOCN P/E Ratio as at Oct 2026
NYSE:DOCN P/E Ratio as at Oct 2026

Next Steps

Mixed signals around DigitalOcean Holdings can feel energising or unsettling, so check the numbers, balance the concerns and upsides, and weigh the 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond DigitalOcean Holdings?

If DigitalOcean Holdings has your attention, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist with other focused ideas that match your risk appetite and return goals.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.