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Mastercard (MA) Expands Crypto And AI Commerce, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?

Simply Wall St·10/09/2026 09:45:49
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Mastercard (MA) is back in focus after a new three-way partnership with SoFi Tech Solutions and Mexican fintech Orbi that ties crypto balances to everyday card spending, using Mastercard’s network as the fiat settlement rail.

Recent news has arrived against a backdrop of steady gains for Mastercard, with the share price at $574.76 after a 7-day share price return of 4.50% and a 90-day share price return of 9.12%. The 5-year total shareholder return of 71.85% points to momentum that has been building over a longer stretch.

Spot opportunities across the payment rails by scanning a curated set of 91 AI infrastructure stocks that, like Mastercard, sit at the crossroads of AI, data and transaction volume.

Bulls point to Mastercard’s AI driven services and crypto rails as fresh fuel for a business already posting double digit revenue and net income growth. Bears see a rich multiple and rising expectations. Which case does the current valuation support?

Most Popular Narrative: 23% Undervalued

According to Investingwilly, the prevailing narrative values Mastercard at $750 per share, which sits well above the last close at $574.76 and presents the current price as a discount to its long term compounding potential.

What it offers instead is a business that compounds safely, a payout growing at double-digit rates from a tiny base, and a price that does not currently reflect either of those things. Setups like that do not come around often. The current pullback looks more like an entry point than a warning sign.

See why 143 investors see Mastercard as 23% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $750 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the Mastercard pitch breaks quickly if regulators clamp harder on interchange fees, or if alternative rails like stablecoins start pulling meaningful volume off its network.

Find out about the key risks to this Mastercard narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed messages in the Mastercard story so far. Consider taking action while sentiment is divided and weigh the upside against the red flags in the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Mastercard?

If Mastercard has sharpened your focus on quality, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now and give yourself more ways for your thesis to play out.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.