To own Houlihan Lokey, you need to believe its broad advisory platform in Corporate Finance, Restructuring, and Valuation can convert healthy pipelines into completed, higher fee deals while keeping its 61.5% compensation ratio stable. The short term swing factor is whether delayed larger transactions reappear quickly enough to offset the recent 24% drop in Corporate Finance revenue to US$303 million in Q1 FY27.
The biggest operational risk is that muted sponsor activity and softer non US deal flow linger, while non compensation costs, which rose 6% year over year in Q1 FY27 and 10.7% in FY26, keep climbing. If that happens, profitability could compress even if headline deal counts look steady. Investors should therefore watch October’s Q2 FY27 earnings closely.
The most relevant announcement for this story is the upcoming Q2 FY27 results on 28 October 2026. That update will show how Houlihan Lokey is absorbing board and leadership changes while still pursuing growth in Capital Solutions, secondaries, and technology enabled advisory work, including areas like digital assets and AI infrastructure.
For catalysts, investors get a near term read on whether restructuring activity and the expanding Capital Solutions franchise are offsetting pressure in Corporate Finance and valuation pricing. Execution risk sits in the cost base and in the timing of larger mandates closing, so the call with management will be important for understanding how the new hires and investments in data and AI are translating into fee opportunities rather than just higher expenses.
Houlihan Lokey's current analyst storyline points to revenues of US$3.6b and earnings of US$626.5 million by 2029, built on 12.5% annual revenue growth and an earnings step up of about US$220.8 million from US$405.7 million today.
Uncover why Houlihan Lokey's fair value indicates a 22% potential upside to its current price before that discount starts to close.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster in a tight US$153.5 to US$163.30 range, yet they still reflect different views on what Houlihan Lokey could be worth once Q2 FY27 results, higher non compensation costs, and fresh leadership in digital assets and Capital Solutions feed through. Opinions are likely to keep diverging, so consider exploring several of these alternative viewpoints before deciding how the story fits your own thesis.
Explore 2 other Houlihan Lokey fair value estimates, including one that suggests it could be worth just $153.50!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so consider relying on your own analysis.
Once you have a view on Houlihan Lokey, it can help to widen the lens and compare it with other businesses that fit your risk, income, and quality preferences. The Simply Wall St Screener lets you filter the market by fundamentals so you can build a watchlist that fits your own playbook rather than relying only on headline stories.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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