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Learn Why The Bull Case For Dexus Stock Could Change Following Hyperscale Data Centre Lease

Simply Wall St·09/30/2026 15:23:17
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  • Dexus reported that its Australian Data Centres vehicle, in which it holds an 85% interest, is part of a consortium that has signed lease documentation for the first stage of a proposed hyperscale data centre campus for Anthropic's Australian subsidiary in Queensland, subject to customary approvals.
  • The business also announced that long-serving CFO Keir Barnes will depart in December 2026. Recently appointed Deputy CFO Kerri Leech is stepping up operationally, which puts execution on capital allocation and development decisions under closer investor scrutiny.
  • We will now look at how Dexus's investment narrative could be affected by the Anthropic hyperscale data centre update.

Scan how the Anthropic data centre news reshapes Dexus' role in AI infrastructure, and then size up similarly positioned opportunities with our hand picked 88 AI infrastructure stocks

DEXUS Investment Narrative Recap

To own Dexus, you need to believe its pivot towards higher growth real assets like industrial, logistics and data infrastructure can offset pressure in CBD offices, elevated gearing and softer fund flows. The Anthropic hyperscale data centre exposure fits that story, but at current scale it does not yet change the near term picture on its own.

The key short term swing factor still looks like execution on the development and capital recycling pipeline, especially given debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Office leasing, interest costs and any further redemption pressure in funds management remain the biggest operational risks that could weigh on earnings quality and distributions.

The CFO transition announcement is the most relevant update here. Keir Barnes staying until mid December 2026, with a formal recruitment process and Deputy CFO Kerri Leech already in place, gives Dexus time to manage handover while the Anthropic data centre project moves through approvals and early delivery phases.

For you, the question is whether this finance leadership change adds execution risk around capital allocation, funding and development decisions, precisely as Dexus leans harder into projects like Waterfront Brisbane and data infrastructure. With debt coverage already a flagged weak point, consistent financial discipline and clear communication across this transition period become important catalysts to watch.

What The Anthropic Hyperscale Deal Means For Dexus' Numbers

DEXUS' analyst narrative points to A$952.7 million of revenue and A$715.3 million of earnings by 2029. That profile assumes revenue declines at 12.3% per year, while earnings rise from A$550.0 million today to A$715.3 million, which is an increase of about 30%.

Uncover why DEXUS' fair value indicates a 28% potential upside to its current price, which could close faster than many investors expect.

ASX:DXS 1-Year Stock Price Chart
ASX:DXS 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

Some analysts focus less on office headwinds and more on Dexus using big projects as fee engines. The most optimistic group was already modelling A$1.2b of revenue and A$1.1b of earnings by 2029, well above consensus. The Anthropic and CFO updates could push those stories closer together or further apart.

Explore 2 other DEXUS fair value estimates, including one that indicates there could be as much as 48% potential upside from the current price!

Decide For Yourself

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Looking For More Ideas Beyond Dexus?

If the Anthropic data centre story has sharpened your view on Dexus but you also want a wider watchlist, the Simply Wall St Screener can surface other companies that fit different risk and return profiles.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.