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Prediction: $10,000 Invested in VFVA Today Could Be Worth This Much by 2031

The Motley Fool·09/22/2026 10:20:00
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Key Points

  • The Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF has delivered 18.7% annualized returns for the past three years.

  • Based on recent trends, a $10,000 investment in VFVA could grow to $18,000 or more by 2031.

Some investors are concerned that the artificial intelligence (AI) boom is an overpriced bubble that might burst. If you're worried about high valuations of tech stocks, buying value stocks might be a different approach to keep your money growing.

According to recent Vanguard research, U.S. value stocks are expected to outperform U.S. growth stocks over the next 10 years. The Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF (NYSEMKT: VFVA) could be a smart way to invest in this trend. VFVA offers exposure to a diversified mix of 687 value stocks of companies of all sizes (from small-caps to large-caps).

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Let's see how much a $10,000 investment in this value stock ETF could grow in the next five years.

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VFVA: 5 years of 12.5% annualized returns

For the past five years, the Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF has delivered average annual returns of about 12.5%. It's done even better recently, with 18.7% annualized returns for the past three years.

There's no guarantee that these past results will continue. But let's assume that you invest $10,000 in VFVA today, and that the ETF keeps delivering the same 12.5% annualized return for the next five years. By September 2031, your $10,000 investment would grow to $18,020.

What if VFVA grows even faster? If this value stock ETF delivers an 18.7% annualized return for the next five years, $10,000 invested today would grow to $23,564 by 2031.

No one knows which stocks or ETFs will do best by 2031. But if you want to put money into a different part of the stock market than tech stocks or AI stocks, the Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF could be worth a look.

Ben Gran has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.