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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 44.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 55.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 12.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 47.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 39.8%.

Zhitongcaijing·09/17/2026 22:09:02
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 44.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 55.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 12.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 47.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 39.8%.