Alphabet is not the only business tied to autonomous driving and AI infrastructure, so it is worth scanning peers via 60 AI infrastructure stocks.
Alphabet uses its scale in search, cloud, and consumer platforms across the US and international markets to fund longer-term bets like autonomous driving. As a result, robotaxis sit alongside a wider push into AI infrastructure and services rather than operating as a standalone project.
4 things going right for Alphabet that this headline doesn't cover.
The Alphabet Narrative assumes that heavy AI and infrastructure spending pays off through higher engagement, broader monetisation and healthier long-run margins, even with loss-making bets like Waymo in the mix. A commercial robotaxi launch in Las Vegas and a Tokyo plan by 2027 plug directly into that bet that experimental businesses can one day matter for the top line.
"Alphabet's substantial investments in "Other Bets" businesses, notably Waymo and experimental hardware, continue to generate significant operating losses without a clear path to material profitability, potentially eroding group net margins if these efforts fail to scale commercially...
See how the full story points towards a $428 fair value for Alphabet.
On the bullish side, paid rides in Las Vegas and a defined Tokyo rollout window bring Waymo closer to the Narrative’s upside case that new products diversify Alphabet beyond advertising. They support the idea that the group can turn long-running R&D into real-world AI-powered services, in a market where Tesla, GM’s Cruise and others are also pushing autonomy.
The bear case does not disappear, though. Scaling robotaxis in two complex cities could extend the period of high operating losses and capital intensity that analysts already flag, at a time when Alphabet is committing large sums to data centers and custom chips. If revenue from Waymo lags that spend, it reinforces the risk that expanding “Other Bets” drags on margins even as Google Cloud and YouTube subscriptions grow.
For readers, the same Waymo headlines can look like proof that Alphabet’s AI story is broadening or like fresh evidence that costly side projects keep stretching the investment thesis, depending on which Narrative you lean on.
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