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RBC Trims Porsche AG Price Target Amid 'Challenging' China Backdrop; Sector Perform Rating Kept

MT Newswires·09/16/2026 01:44:55
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01:44 AM EDT, 09/16/2026 (MT Newswires) -- RBC Capital Markets trimmed its price target for Porsche AG (P911.F), noting the "challenging" environment for European carmakers in China offers no clear catalyst. "Total vehicle sales in China are down ~20% [year to date], pressured by ongoing weakness in the real estate market and lower [new energy vehicle] incentives that have broadly dampened vehicle demand," according to a Tuesday note. "China deliveries for Porsche could be 20-30K units in 2026 (vs 42k in 2025), with risk that 2027 could be even weaker. That said, the earnings impact could be limited even at reduced volumes, supported by a leaner dealer footprint and a 'value over volume' strategy aimed at preserving pricing power." The research firm said its 2027 EBIT estimate of 2.1 billion euros is "meaningfully below" the Visible Alpha-compiled consensus of 2.6 billion euros, noting that the streets may not have fully incorporated the simultaneous headwinds of China weakness, ICE Macan runout and realignment expenses. As such, RBC lowered its price target on the stock to 40 euros from 45 euros, with the sector perform rating unchanged. At the upcoming capital markets day on Oct. 7, analysts expect the German sports car manufacturer to focus on its product pipeline timeline, strategic restructuring progress, cash conversion goals and capital deployment strategy.