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To own monday.com, you need to believe the Work OS can keep attracting larger customers while still appealing to smaller teams, and that its AI and multi product push will keep usage sticky. The core near term swing factor is execution on upmarket expansion and cross selling tools like monday CRM and monday dev into existing accounts. Recent upward earnings revisions speak to ongoing cost control and monetization, but they do not change the main risk right now. Heavy spend on R&D and sales has to translate into sustained customer and seat growth, especially after recent share price weakness.
The most relevant piece of recent information is the pattern of monday.com beating earnings and revenue expectations alongside fresh upward revisions to quarterly and full year profit estimates. That track record, paired with forecasts for earnings growth of about 19.8% per year and revenue growth of 12.6% annually, reinforces the idea that the existing product set and go to market engine are still working. It keeps attention on whether operating leverage continues while management leans into performance marketing and enterprise sales, where any slowdown in new logos or seat expansion would quickly show up in future revisions.
Even so, the story becomes more complicated once you weigh those expectations against ...
Read the full monday.com narrative to see the case behind these numbers.
monday.com's current analyst narrative points to revenue of US$2.1b and earnings of US$83.3 million by 2029, based on assumed yearly sales growth of 16.6%. This would involve a move from current earnings of US$119.4 million to that 2029 consensus, which represents an earnings decline of US$36.1 million rather than an increase.
monday.com's forecasts show a fair value of $108.12 against a $83.67 share price, indicating a 29% upside to its current price that could narrow quickly.
Some of the most optimistic monday.com analysts lean hard into enterprise AI as the real swing factor. Before this news, a bullish cohort was already modeling revenue of about US$2.2b and earnings near US$276.0 million by 2029. That is a very different story to consensus, and it shows how far views can stretch. Treat this update as a cue to compare those assumptions yourself and see which version of the future feels closer to your own read of the business.
If you want a broader perspective on how others are pricing monday.com, compare those views with the 8 other fair value estimates for monday.com.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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