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To own China Longyuan Power Group, you have to be comfortable with a renewables business that is still very wind heavy, yet leaning harder into solar. The August generation update reinforces that split. Solar output is growing fast, while wind remains softer on a year to date basis. In the short term, the key question is whether that mix shift can help offset the pressure already visible in the first half numbers, with sales down from CNY 15,657.02 million to CNY 14,642.31 million and net income dropping from CNY 3,374.79 million to CNY 2,392.7 million.
The model is capital intensive, interest costs are biting and profit margins have already compressed from 18.5% to 12.5%. Forecasts still point to earnings growth and the stock trades on a P/E of 10.6x, which is below both the Hong Kong market and Asian renewable energy peer averages. That mix of lower valuation and softer recent earnings creates a clear tension for China Longyuan Power Group. Either execution on new solar capacity and pricing stabilisation ease the strain on cash flows, or funding and balance sheet risks remain a central concern.
Even so, there is a less comfortable angle to the China Longyuan Power Group story that sits in how those funding pressures could intersect with...
There's only one way to know the right time to buy, sell or hold China Longyuan Power Group. Head to Simply Wall St's company report for the latest analysis of China Longyuan Power Group's Fair Value.
Two fair value views from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between CNY 3.74 and CNY 6.87 per share, which already hints at wide disagreement on China Longyuan Power Group. Those opinions were formed before the weaker first half earnings and the August mix of softer wind and stronger solar, so treat them as starting points and compare several viewpoints yourself.
If you want a broader range of views on China Longyuan Power Group, check out the 1 other fair value estimates for China Longyuan Power Group.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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