U.S. stock futures declined on Tuesday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices fell, following Monday’s lower close.
Rising Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude futures up 4.46% to $92.31 a barrel after President Donald Trump threatened further strikes against Iran while ruling out nuclear action against an opponent he described as "totally defeated."
Meanwhile, tech infrastructure took center stage as Trump warned that communities rejecting AI data centers risk being "backwards and poor."
Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:PANW), Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL), and MongoDB Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) will report earnings today, after the closing bell.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.79%, and the two-year bond was at 4.36%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing in a 66.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates at its September meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.59% |
| S&P 500 | -0.63% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -1.09% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.56% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.59% at $762.55, while the QQQ declined by 1.02% to $709.48.
Cues From Last Session
Communication services, utilities, and industrials suffered the biggest drops on Monday, while energy and information technology stocks defied the broader trend to finish higher. Most S&P 500 sectors declined as U.S. markets broadly fell.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -0.7% | 53,185.90 |
| S&P 500 | -0.33% | 7,686.14 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.12% | 26,370.89 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.54% | 2,956.45 |
Jeremy Siegel expressed an optimistic outlook for the U.S. economy and stock market, largely driven by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s policy approach and robust artificial intelligence investments.
Siegel praised Warsh’s recent Jackson Hole speech for its “explicit recognition that money supply and bank credit matter for the Fed’s inflation outlook.” Siegel notes that Warsh correctly identifies that the current 3.6% federal funds rate and 7% to 8% bank credit expansion are “hardly consistent with a monetary policy crushing demand.”
Looking at the broader stock market, Siegel remains highly confident, pointing to a “very strong fundamental backdrop from the AI story powering the equity market.” He emphasizes that recent strong performances by tech giants like Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM) prove the AI investment cycle still has plenty of momentum.
Despite anticipating a slight slowdown after a period of exceptional corporate profits, Siegel reassures investors that “some deceleration is inevitable, but that does not mean the earnings outlook is deteriorating.”
Ultimately, Siegel concludes that “the market continues to demonstrate considerable resilience and I remain constructive”, leaving the timing of Warsh’s next rate hike as the primary uncertainty.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Tuesday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 2.37% to hover around $87.79 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 1.61% to hover around $4,377.83 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.13% higher at the 99.5620 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.10% lower at $77,826.20 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were lower on Tuesday except South Korea’s Kospi. China’s CSI 300, Australia’s ASX 200, India’s Nifty 50, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 indices fell. European markets were lower in early trading.
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