Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. By way of example, Aerodrome Group (TLV:ARDM) has seen its share price rise 198% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Aerodrome Group's cash burn is too risky. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Aerodrome Group last reported its June 2026 balance sheet in August 2026, it had zero debt and cash worth ₪45m. Importantly, its cash burn was ₪8.7m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 5.1 years as of June 2026. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
View our latest analysis for Aerodrome Group
Some investors might find it troubling that Aerodrome Group is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 8.8% in the last year. The fact that operating revenue was down 52% only gives us further disquiet. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Aerodrome Group has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
While Aerodrome Group seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Aerodrome Group has a market capitalisation of ₪92m and burnt through ₪8.7m last year, which is 9.4% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
On this analysis of Aerodrome Group's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for Aerodrome Group (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.