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Market Indexes Hold Flat as Wall Street Waits on Nvidia
Key Points
The S&P 500 was flat, the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.12%, and the Dow fell 0.21% in quiet midday trading.
Nvidia reports after Wednesday's close, with revenue expected to nearly double year over year to $91.9 billion.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech Friday is the week's next major event after Nvidia.
Wednesday's inflation reading came in slightly above expectations, and Wall Street shrugged. American stock markets are calm today as investors prepare for Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) reporting Q2 2027 results after this evening's closing bell.
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is essentially unchanged, up 0.02% as of 11:59 a.m. ET. The Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) is down 0.12% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) has slipped 0.21%, putting a three-session winning streak at risk.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The morning's inflation data was the kind that would normally get a reaction, but today's response was a collective yawn. The Fed's preferred gauge, the PCE price index, rose 0.2% in July and 3.7% over the past year, both a hair above what economists wanted. The core reading, stripped of food and energy, held at 3.3%, exactly as expected. Inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, and markets are pricing only about a one-in-three chance of a rate move at the Sept. 15-16 meeting.
The day's oddest headline belonged to Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META). The Facebook and Instagram parent rose about 1% on the same day it settled a social media addiction case for $16.7 billion. A settlement that size lifting a stock tells you investors were bracing for something worse.
On the Dow, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) was the heaviest drag, down about 1% on its large weighting. You know, as usual. Ordinary market noise becomes bellwether material when a single stock holds an 11.7% weighting on the Dow index.
Elsewhere, oil slipped again as Iran and Oman reportedly inched toward a deal over the Strait of Hormuz. The gold-and-Bitcoin rally took a breather, with the iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT) down 1.2% and the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEMKT: GLD) dropping 1.6%.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Everything hinges on one report tonight
And that brings me to the one thing everyone is waiting for. Nvidia reports financial results shortly after 4 p.m. ET.
Revenue should rise roughly 97% year over year to $91.9 billion, while earnings should double from $1.04 to $2.08 per share. But the headline figures might not be the thing to watch this evening. I'm keeping a close eye on gross margins, where the distance from 75% tells you how Nvidia is feeling about the competitive landscape and memory pricing.
Margins slipping toward the low 70s would suggest Nvidia is absorbing higher memory costs to defend its lead, while margins holding well above that level indicate it still has the pricing power to protect profits.
Wednesday looks frozen because there will be a lot to talk about at the end of the week. After Nvidia's health-check on the AI market, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh will speak at the Jackson Hole conference on Friday. Wall Street won't stay quiet much longer.
Anders Bylund has positions in Nvidia and iShares Bitcoin Trust. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Goldman Sachs Group, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and iShares Bitcoin Trust. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.