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Orora (ASX:ORA) Could Be 13% Undervalued On FY26 Loss Reset

Simply Wall St·08/19/2026 22:33:53
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Orora’s FY26 results and why the loss matters for investors

Orora (ASX:ORA) has drawn fresh attention after reporting full year 2026 results on 12 August, ahead of its earnings call on 13 August 2026, combining higher sales with a sizeable net loss.

The company reported sales of A$2,225.9 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, compared with A$2,090.2 million a year earlier. At the same time, Orora moved from net income of A$973.1 million to a net loss of A$616.6 million, which is a sharp swing in profitability that many investors are now reassessing.

See our latest analysis for Orora.

Orora’s recent full year 2026 loss appears to have weighed on sentiment, with the share price down 33.8% year to date. However, a 13.95% 3 month share price return suggests some short term momentum is emerging after the results announcement.

If this earnings reset has you reassessing your portfolio, it could be a useful moment to broaden your watchlist and check out 4 top founder-led companies

Orora still runs a sizeable global packaging business, yet the sharp move from profit to loss and a share price pullback of more than 30% this year raise a different question: Is the stock fairly priced after this reset?

Most Popular Narrative: 12.9% Undervalued

Orora's most followed valuation narrative points to a fair value of A$1.69 per share, compared with the last close of A$1.47, which frames the recent share price weakness in a different light for investors.

With major capital expenditure cycles concluding, the business is set to enter a period of substantially higher free cash flow; share buybacks (targeting up to 10%) and a robust balance sheet can drive EPS growth and provide support for shareholder returns while maintaining flexibility for future industry consolidation opportunities.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what sits behind that free cash flow story and the higher future earnings multiple? The narrative leans on steady revenue expansion, firmer margins and fewer shares on issue to support its fair value. Curious how those moving parts combine to justify a higher valuation than today?

Result: Fair Value of A$1.69 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, Orora’s story can shift quickly if premium wine and spirits demand stays weak, or if higher tariffs on European glass exports into the US become entrenched.

Find out about the key risks to this Orora narrative.

Next Steps

Given the mixed mood around Orora after these FY26 results, it makes sense to dig into the numbers yourself and weigh both sides of the story while this is still fresh. To see the specific risk flags and potential upsides that other investors are focused on, start with 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Orora?

If the Orora story has you thinking about portfolio upgrades, this is a good moment to widen your search and let solid data point you toward fresh opportunities.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.