Violent cracking of Satoshi Nakamoto's private keys? 1.8 50% chance of Octo Desirien being old

According to Woofun AI, a dispute broke out on the X platform on August 18 over the cracking of Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin private key. In response to the online claim that wealth can be obtained through random guessing recovery phrases, industry researchers quickly denied it, stressing that this theory is completely unfounded in mathematical logic.

According to Arkham's smart records, as of August 17, 2026, the address associated with Satoshi Nakamoto still holds over 1 million BTC. Violent cracking requires going through 24 word mnemonic combinations. Even if the computational power reaches 1 trillion types per second, Woofun AI compiled data showing that it takes 1.8 octodecillion years to achieve a 50% success rate, far exceeding the age of the universe at 13.8 billion years, proving that existing cryptographic systems are statistically resistant to such attacks.

The widely spread hypothesis is a fundamental technical misunderstanding that assets are protected by the BIP-39 mnemonic standard. In fact, the standard was born many years after Satoshi left the community. Between 2009 and 2010, Bitcoin used a public-key-oriented payment/P2PK format to generate keys, causing its assets to be scattered across more than 22,000 separate addresses. These addresses have been static for 15 years, and sudden activation would have a drastic impact on global liquidity.

The underlying security still relies on the secp256k1 elliptic curve encryption algorithm established by the Genesis block in 2009. Until quantum computing makes substantial breakthroughs, the bitcoins in the Genesis block will still only be stored in the distributed database of the network without causing any problems in the operation of the system. This is another rational reaffirmation by the market of the underlying cryptographic security following the early private key loss incident.