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To own REA Group, you need to believe its leadership in online property search can translate into resilient margins and attractive cash generation despite competition and a cyclical housing market. The latest result, with net income of A$551.6 million and lower earnings per share, mildly challenges the margin expansion story, while the A$1.73 fully franked dividend signals the company is still prepared to return substantial cash in the near term.
The most relevant recent announcement here is the completion of the A$200 million on market buyback, retiring 1,257,405 shares, alongside the higher fully franked dividend. Together, lower earnings, a larger capital return and a relatively high price to earnings multiple sharpen the near term focus on how much profit growth and pricing power REA Group can sustain if listing volumes soften or competitive and regulatory pressures increase.
Yet behind the strong dividend, there is a risk investors should be aware of if competition and regulation start to bite into margins and...
Read the full narrative on REA Group (it's free!)
REA Group's narrative projects A$2.3 billion revenue and A$984.2 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how REA Group's forecasts yield a A$193.03 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Some of the most pessimistic analysts were already assuming only about 2 percent annual revenue growth and A$787.3 million of earnings by 2029, so this earnings miss could push their already cautious view on competitive and regulatory risks even further, reminding you that reasonable people can look at the same numbers and reach very different conclusions.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on REA Group - why the stock might be worth 17% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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