U.S. stock futures were mixed on Friday, as the Dow Jones index slipped and the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices rose, following Thursday’s higher close.
According to Reuters, the U.S. stated it can maintain its naval blockade of Iran “indefinitely,” and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned of impending measures “never been seen in the history of economic isolation.”
The economic pressure campaign follows fresh Iranian attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, where falling shipping traffic has led the International Energy Agency to forecast a 4% drop in global oil supply this year.
The unchanged July Producer Price Index reading added to signs of easing inflation following Wednesday’s softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index report. Traders subsequently scaled back expectations for a September Fed rate hike, with markets pricing a 32.4% probability of an increase and a 67.6% chance of no change.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.66%, and the two-year bond was at 4.15%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing a 32.6% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking the current interest rates during its September meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.16% |
| S&P 500 | 0.05% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.15% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.08% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Friday. The SPY was up 0.098% at $778.64, while the QQQ advanced by 0.17% to $733.3.
Energy and materials stocks bucked the overall market trend to close lower on Thursday, while most S&P 500 sectors ended higher, led by big gains in tech, real estate, and communication services. The benchmark S&P 500 settled at a fresh record high as U.S. equities rallied following fresh producer price index data.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.13% | 53,839.99 |
| S&P 500 | 0.65% | 7,798.99 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.81% | 26,803.02 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.24% | 3,052.85 |
Alex Sagal, Global Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo, maintains a positive yet measured outlook on the U.S. stock market. He emphasizes that the S&P 500 Index’s push into record territory is driven by improving fundamentals rather than speculative hype.
Earnings growth reached 31% in the second quarter, leading Sagal to note, “All-time highs for equity markets are being supported by improving fundamentals, not just preseason-like optimism.”
Market participation has also broadened beyond mega-cap leaders, evidenced by the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index reaching new highs.
However, Sagal cautions that ongoing risks like elevated oil prices, high interest rates, and geopolitical tension continue to impact valuations. Declaring that “every strong roster has an injury report,” he advises investors to avoid overextending.
His core recommendation is to “stay constructive, but disciplined, with equity-market exposure.” He suggests buying U.S. Large Cap Equities and Information Technology on pullbacks while expanding into AI-linked areas like Electrical Equipment, Machinery, Banks, and Construction Materials.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Friday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 1.66% to hover around $82.60 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.12% to hover around $4,345.65 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.20% lower at the 99.7610 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.60% lower at $62,724.85 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were mixed on Friday, as Japan’s Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300 and South Korea’s Kospi indices. Australia’s ASX 200, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, and India’s Nifty 50 indices fell. European markets were also mixed in early trading.
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