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    Riot Platforms (RIOT) Is Down 5.5% After $9.1 Billion Anthropic AI Deal Reveal Has The Bull Case Changed?

    Simply Wall St·08/13/2026 05:29:26
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    • In August 2026, Riot Platforms, Inc. reported second-quarter results showing revenue of US$174.24 million alongside a net loss of US$237.17 million, while also recognizing US$27.97 million in impairment charges and increasing bitcoin production to 1,587 coins.
    • On the same day, Riot disclosed a US$9.10 billion, 20-year agreement to lease 191 megawatts of data-center capacity to Anthropic, signaling a major pivot toward AI infrastructure and long-duration, contract-based revenue.
    • Next, we’ll examine how this long-term Anthropic compute lease could reshape Riot Platforms’ investment narrative built around power-first optionality.

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    Riot Platforms Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Riot today, you need to believe its shift from a Bitcoin‑centric miner to a power‑first data center landlord can offset ongoing losses and capital intensity. The Anthropic lease directly targets the prior key risk of underutilized power capacity, but the near term catalyst now shifts to execution on Rockdale build‑out timelines, while the biggest current risk is that large accounting losses and heavy spending persist before AI lease revenues fully show up in reported results.

    The most relevant recent announcement here is Riot’s Q2 2026 report, which paired US$174.24 million in revenue and a US$237.17 million net loss with US$27.97 million of impairments and 1,587 Bitcoin produced. That mix underscores how dependent results remain on volatile Bitcoin economics and accounting charges, even as the Anthropic and earlier AMD leases start to reframe the story around contracted, long duration power and compute monetization rather than pure mining exposure.

    Yet beneath the excitement around AI leases, investors should be aware that Riot’s Texas concentration still exposes it to evolving grid rules, project delays, and...

    Read the full narrative on Riot Platforms (it's free!)

    Riot Platforms’ narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $148.2 million earnings by 2029.

    Uncover how Riot Platforms' forecasts yield a $29.50 fair value, a 45% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    RIOT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    RIOT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Before this news, the most pessimistic analysts saw revenue shrinking about 7.8% a year and still unprofitable by 2029, highlighting how execution risks and timing of data center leases could look very different depending on whether you focus on the Anthropic deal or on the possibility of weaker tenant demand and rising Texas costs.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Riot Platforms - why the stock might be worth just $20.00!

    Form Your Own Verdict

    Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.