As you might know, Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited (NSE:LLOYDSME) just kicked off its latest first-quarter results with some very strong numbers. Statutory earnings performance was extremely strong, with revenue of ₹74b beating expectations by 24% and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹30.38, an impressive 50%ahead of expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Lloyds Metals and Energy from seven analysts is for revenues of ₹295.8b in 2027. If met, it would imply a substantial 33% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 43% to ₹121. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹286.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹126 in 2027. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a a substantial to revenue, the consensus also made a small dip in its earnings per share forecasts.
See our latest analysis for Lloyds Metals and Energy
The consensus price target was unchanged at ₹2,103, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Lloyds Metals and Energy analyst has a price target of ₹2,393 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹1,742. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2027 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 47% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 52% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 11% per year. So it's pretty clear that Lloyds Metals and Energy is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Lloyds Metals and Energy. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹2,103, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Lloyds Metals and Energy. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Lloyds Metals and Energy going out to 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Lloyds Metals and Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.