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To own Toro today, you need to believe its core professional turf and irrigation platforms, plus productivity efforts like the AMP program, can offset slower growth and aging profit centers. The recent evidence of weaker revenue, EPS and eroding returns on capital does not yet overturn that view, but it sharpens the near term catalyst around execution on cost savings and makes the key risk of profit engine fatigue more immediate.
The upcoming leadership transition, with Edric C. Funk set to become CEO on November 1, 2026, is especially relevant here. A new chief executive taking the reins just as returns on capital are softening adds another layer of uncertainty around how aggressively Toro will push productivity, capital allocation and product mix. For investors focused on near term catalysts, this handover sits right alongside the financial slowdown as a key development to track.
Yet beneath Toro’s long record, one risk in particular could quietly reshape the picture for investors who are not watching closely...
Read the full narrative on Toro (it's free!)
Toro’s narrative projects $5.2 billion revenue and $546.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 3.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $207 million earnings increase from $339.8 million today.
Uncover how Toro's forecasts yield a $109.25 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
The lowest ranked analysts take a more pessimistic view than the consensus, even though they were still assuming Toro’s revenue could reach about US$5.2 billion and earnings about US$546.1 million by 2029, so this new evidence of slower growth and weaker returns on capital may push some of those already cautious forecasts even lower.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Toro - why the stock might be worth as much as 11% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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