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To own Wynn Resorts today, you need to believe in the long term appeal of its high end resorts in Las Vegas, Macau and, eventually, the UAE, while accepting exposure to regulatory and tourism swings in those markets. The latest results reinforce the near term catalyst of improving earnings power but do not materially change the biggest risk, which remains the heavy fixed cost and capital burden of projects like Wynn Al Marjan Island if demand softens.
The most relevant update here is the completion of the long running US$2.74 billion share repurchase program, which has reduced the share count by about 28%. Combined with the ongoing US$0.25 per share dividend, this capital return framework matters for how you weigh the upside from future UAE cash flows against the financial strain of large projects and any profit volatility in Macau and Las Vegas.
Yet even with higher earnings and buybacks, investors should still be aware of how rising project costs and fixed obligations could pressure Wynn if...
Read the full narrative on Wynn Resorts (it's free!)
Wynn Resorts' narrative projects $8.7 billion revenue and $727.9 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Wynn Resorts' forecasts yield a $135.89 fair value, a 33% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest rated analysts were only factoring in about US$8.0 billion of revenue and US$595.6 million of earnings by 2029, so if you are worried about Wynn’s reliance on physical resorts and exposure to online competition, this more cautious view may feel closer to home, especially as the latest quarter shows how quickly sentiment could shift once new information is absorbed.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Wynn Resorts - why the stock might be worth just $116.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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