Unipres Corporation (TSE:5949) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.8% to JP¥1,285 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Results overall were not great, with earnings of JP¥22.53 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit JP¥81b and were slightly better than forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Unipres after the latest results.
Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from twin analysts covering Unipres is for revenues of JP¥317.2b in 2027. This implies a discernible 3.4% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Unipres forecast to report a statutory profit of JP¥115 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥318.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥129 in 2027. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the real cut to new EPS forecasts.
View our latest analysis for Unipres
The average price target fell 13% to JP¥1,050, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Unipres' past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 4.5% annualised decline to the end of 2027. That is a notable change from historical growth of 5.4% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 4.2% per year. It's pretty clear that Unipres' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Unipres' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Unipres' future valuation.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Unipres. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have analyst estimates for Unipres going out as far as 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Unipres that you need to take into consideration.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.