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Huachuang Securities released a research report saying that employment data supports the Federal Reserve's continued standstill. For the Federal Reserve, steady employment is the cornerstone assumption that the focus of attention and decision-making shifts to inflation. It is also on this basis that differences in tolerance for inflation have led to increased differences within the Federal Reserve. However, employment has continued to cool down in the past two months, and the shift to “weak and not collapse” supports the rationality of continuing to stand still, wait and watch inflation continue to fall, and is also conducive to bridging internal differences. Currently, there is still a preference that the Federal Reserve can keep interest rates unchanged this year; reasons similar to the “preventative interest rate hike” in 1997 are insufficient.

Zhitongcaijing·08/08/2026 23:41:04
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Huachuang Securities released a research report saying that employment data supports the Federal Reserve's continued standstill. For the Federal Reserve, steady employment is the cornerstone assumption that the focus of attention and decision-making shifts to inflation. It is also on this basis that differences in tolerance for inflation have led to increased differences within the Federal Reserve. However, employment has continued to cool down in the past two months, and the shift to “weak and not collapse” supports the rationality of continuing to stand still, wait and watch inflation continue to fall, and is also conducive to bridging internal differences. Currently, there is still a preference that the Federal Reserve can keep interest rates unchanged this year; reasons similar to the “preventative interest rate hike” in 1997 are insufficient.