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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 45.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 33.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 52.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.5%.

Zhitongcaijing·08/05/2026 23:07:49
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 45.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 33.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 52.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.5%.