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To own Avnet, you need to believe that demand for electronic components and value add distribution can support its scale, even as margins stay tight and regional trends diverge. Last quarter’s US$7.12 billion revenue beat and stronger guidance made the upcoming Q4 2026 print a key short term catalyst, but until the results are known, the impact on the main risk of ongoing margin pressure and regional imbalances is uncertain and may not yet be material.
The Q3 2026 guidance for Q4, calling for US$7.30 to US$7.60 billion in sales and GAAP diluted EPS of US$1.20 to US$1.45, sits at the heart of this setup. That outlook raised the bar for execution and reinforced the demand recovery and backlog story that underpins the bullish catalyst around improving book to bill and inventory normalization, while also sharpening the focus on whether Avnet can offset cost and margin headwinds as volumes move higher.
Yet behind the strong guidance, investors should be aware that rising Asian mix and already thin margins could still...
Read the full narrative on Avnet (it's free!)
Avnet's narrative projects $35.5 billion revenue and $1.7 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 12.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.5 billion earnings increase from $213.9 million.
Uncover how Avnet's forecasts yield a $89.00 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.
Some analysts were far more optimistic before this release, assuming revenue could reach about US$37.3 billion with earnings near US$2.1 billion, yet your view on Avnet’s backlog strength versus its digital adaptation risks may shift as today’s numbers come through and it is worth seeing how different these viewpoints can be.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Avnet - why the stock might be worth as much as $96.00!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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