With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at SOCAR Inc.'s (KRX:403550) future prospects. SOCAR Inc. operates as a mobility company in South Korea. The ₩390b market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of ₩18b and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of ₩24b leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which SOCAR will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.
According to some industry analysts covering SOCAR, breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of ₩14b in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly a year from now or less! At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 130%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of SOCAR's upcoming projects, however, bear in mind that generally a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.
Check out our latest analysis for SOCAR
Before we wrap up, there’s one issue worth mentioning. SOCAR currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of over 2x. Typically, debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, which in this case, the company has significantly overshot. A higher level of debt requires more stringent capital management which increases the risk in investing in the loss-making company.
There are key fundamentals of SOCAR which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at SOCAR, take a look at SOCAR's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential aspects you should further research:
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.