There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Modern Innovative Digital Technology (HKG:2322) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at March 2026, Modern Innovative Digital Technology had cash of HK$91m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was HK$41m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.2 years from March 2026. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
Check out our latest analysis for Modern Innovative Digital Technology
We reckon the fact that Modern Innovative Digital Technology managed to shrink its cash burn by 33% over the last year is rather encouraging. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue declined by 40% during the period. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Modern Innovative Digital Technology is building its business over time.
Modern Innovative Digital Technology seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Since it has a market capitalisation of HK$305m, Modern Innovative Digital Technology's HK$41m in cash burn equates to about 13% of its market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
On this analysis of Modern Innovative Digital Technology's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Modern Innovative Digital Technology's situation. On another note, Modern Innovative Digital Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
Of course Modern Innovative Digital Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.