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To own Select Water Solutions, you need to believe that its long term, acreage dedicated water infrastructure contracts can offset its exposure to cyclical oil and gas activity. The newly affirmed US$0.07 quarterly dividend reinforces the story of recurring cash flows, but it does not materially change the near term catalyst around infrastructure ramp up or the key risk of high capital needs if contract momentum slows.
The recent agreement with ISE Chemicals to extract iodine from produced water across Select’s network is particularly relevant here, because it highlights an attempt to build new royalty based revenue streams on top of the same infrastructure that supports the dividend. How effectively these ancillary projects contribute alongside core water contracts could influence how resilient those capital returns feel if oilfield activity softens.
Yet investors should also be aware that the biggest risk may lie in what happens if heavy growth CapEx meets a pause in new long term contracts…
Read the full narrative on Select Water Solutions (it's free!)
Select Water Solutions' narrative projects $1.7 billion revenue and $92.4 million earnings by 2029. This requires 6.6% yearly revenue growth and a $70.8 million earnings increase from $21.6 million.
Uncover how Select Water Solutions' forecasts yield a $21.83 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious before this dividend, assuming revenue of about US$1.7 billion and earnings near US$39 million by 2029, so you should know they see higher CapEx and contract risks very differently from the more optimistic consensus and this new payout could shift those views again.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Select Water Solutions - why the stock might be worth just $21.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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