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To own Agree Realty, you generally need to believe in the resilience of necessity focused, net leased retail and the REIT’s ability to grow rent and earnings without eroding per share results. The latest quarter’s higher revenue and net income support that narrative, but the only modest uptick in diluted EPS keeps equity dilution as the key short term catalyst and risk. This earnings release does not appear to materially change that near term tension.
The recent follow on equity offering of about US$1.03 billion sits squarely in the middle of this story, because it funds portfolio expansion while also increasing the share count that can weigh on per share earnings. Taken together with the quarterly results, it ties the company’s growth plans directly to how efficiently new capital is converted into AFFO and EPS, which remains central to how the current catalysts might play out.
Yet even with growing net income, the reliance on equity issuance and the risk of ongoing dilution is something investors should be very aware of...
Read the full narrative on Agree Realty (it's free!)
Agree Realty's narrative projects $1.1 billion revenue and $320.8 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Agree Realty's forecasts yield a $84.56 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members’ fair value estimates range from US$84.56 to US$172.86, showing how widely individual views on Agree Realty can differ. Against this backdrop, the recent earnings growth alongside a higher share count underscores that you may want to compare multiple opinions on how dilution and capital raising could affect the company’s progress.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Agree Realty - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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