Eni S.p.A. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Eni S.p.A. (BIT:ENI) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 4.4% to €23.98. It was a curious result overall, with revenues coming in an incredible 25% below what the analysts had expected, at €24b. Statutory earnings per share beat analyst models by 56% to hit €1.09. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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After the latest results, the 20 analysts covering Eni are now predicting revenues of €99.7b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a decent 11% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 41% to €2.78. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €99.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.42 in 2026. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the nice increase in earnings per share expectations following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Eni

The consensus price target was unchanged at €25.16, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Eni at €30.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €19.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Eni is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 23% annualised growth until the end of 2026. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 0.7% annual decline over the past five years. What's also interesting is that our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue decline 0.7% annually for the foreseeable future. So although Eni is expected to return to growth, it's also expected to grow revenues during a time when the wider industry is estimated to see revenue decline.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Eni's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Their estimates also suggest that Eni's revenue is expected to perform better than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Eni going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Eni (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.