Lonking Holdings (SEHK:3339) Guides For Higher Profit, Is It Still Below Fair Value?

Lonking Holdings (SEHK:3339) issued unaudited earnings guidance for the six months to 30 June 2026, indicating expected net profit between RMB 730 million and RMB 800 million, representing an increase of 16% to 27% year on year.

See our latest analysis for Lonking Holdings.

The earnings guidance comes at a time when Lonking Holdings' share price has gained 20.00% over the past month but is still down 6.02% over 90 days, while the 3 year total shareholder return of 165.56% points to strong longer term momentum.

If this earnings update has you looking for other ideas in industrial and infrastructure themes, it could be a useful moment to check out 35 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

After a 20% one month jump and with Lonking Holdings still trading below both analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, the spread between price and value is wide enough to ask where fair value really sits next.

Preferred P/E of 8.8x: Is it justified?

Lonking Holdings is currently trading on a P/E of 8.8x, which sits below both its peer group and the wider Hong Kong machinery industry based on the latest data provided.

The P/E ratio compares the HK$3.12 share price to the company’s earnings per share. For an equipment manufacturer like Lonking Holdings with an established profit base, P/E helps investors judge how much the market is paying for each unit of earnings.

On one hand, statements indicate the stock is considered good value versus peers, with its 8.8x P/E below the peer average of 12x and the Hong Kong machinery industry average of 12.2x. On the other hand, the SWS fair ratio estimate of 7.7x implies the current P/E is above the level the market could move towards if pricing more closely reflected that model.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Lonking Holdings

Result: Price-to-earnings of 8.8x (ABOUT RIGHT)

However, Lonking Holdings still faces risks if construction demand weakens, or if pricing pressure in Mainland China and overseas crimps the current earnings base.

Find out about the key risks to this Lonking Holdings narrative.

Another view on Lonking Holdings using cash flows

The earlier P/E discussion presents Lonking Holdings as relatively cheap compared with peers, yet slightly above its own 7.7x fair ratio. Our DCF model offers a different angle. At HK$3.12, the stock trades about 30.5% below the SWS DCF fair value estimate of HK$4.49. This indicates a sizeable valuation gap that investors will need to evaluate for themselves.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Lonking Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 257 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

With Lonking Holdings showing both valuation support and clear uncertainties, it makes sense to move quickly and test the numbers against your own expectations. To weigh the upside potential against the pressure points, start by reviewing the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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