The first-quarter results for Riverview Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVSB) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues were US$15m, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$0.08 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 14%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what expert is forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analyst has changed their mind on Riverview Bancorp after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Riverview Bancorp's solitary analyst is for revenues of US$60.5m in 2027. This would reflect a sizeable 39% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Riverview Bancorp is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.29 per share. Before this earnings report, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of US$61.7m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.32 in 2027. The analyst seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Riverview Bancorp
Despite cutting their earnings forecasts,the analyst has lifted their price target 12% to US$7.00, suggesting that these impacts are not expected to weigh on the stock's value in the long term.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Riverview Bancorp is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 55% annualised growth until the end of 2027. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 7.4% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 7.8% annually. So it looks like Riverview Bancorp is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.
The biggest concern is that the analyst reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Riverview Bancorp. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analyst believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Riverview Bancorp going out as far as 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Riverview Bancorp that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.