Investors in Acerinox, S.A. (BME:ACX) had a good week, as its shares rose 9.4% to close at €18.06 following the release of its half-year results. The results were positive, with revenue coming in at €3.0b, beating analyst expectations by 2.8%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
After the latest results, the twelve analysts covering Acerinox are now predicting revenues of €6.24b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a notable 9.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 364% to €1.01. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €6.28b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.92 in 2026. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Acerinox's earnings potential following these results.
Check out our latest analysis for Acerinox
The analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 5.6% to €17.84. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Acerinox at €23.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €14.40. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Acerinox is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 20% annualised growth until the end of 2026. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 6.2% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.8% per year. Not only are Acerinox's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Acerinox following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Acerinox analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Acerinox (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.