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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.3%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 19.6%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 55.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 25.2%.

Zhitongcaijing·07/26/2026 22:01:00
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.3%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 19.6%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 55.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 25.2%.