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Why Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Is Up 6.2% After Hiking Profit Outlook On Aerospace, Turbine Strength

Simply Wall St·07/26/2026 10:21:18
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  • Earlier this week, Howmet Aerospace raised its full-year profit forecast by 11%, citing strong momentum from 20% Commercial Aerospace growth and a 39% revenue increase in its Gas Turbine business.
  • This higher profit outlook highlights how demand for advanced aerospace and turbine components is amplifying the company’s role across key aircraft and engine platforms.
  • We’ll now explore how the upgraded profit guidance, underpinned by Commercial Aerospace and Gas Turbine strength, could reshape Howmet’s investment narrative.

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Howmet Aerospace Investment Narrative Recap

To own Howmet today, you need to believe that demand for advanced aerospace and gas turbine components will support healthy profits despite elevated valuation and customer concentration. The 11% profit guidance upgrade reinforces the current bull case and keeps Commercial Aerospace growth as the key short term catalyst, while the biggest near term risk remains any slowdown in aircraft build rates or engine aftermarket demand that could quickly test today’s pricing.

The most relevant recent development alongside the upgraded profit outlook is Howmet’s raised full year 2026 revenue guidance to about US$9,575 million to US$9,725 million. This ties directly into the same Commercial Aerospace and Gas Turbine momentum behind the new profit forecast, sharpening attention on whether higher capacity and spending will translate into sustained earnings without exposing shareholders to overinvestment risk if demand softens.

Yet investors should also be aware that any setback in aircraft build rates or engine aftermarket demand could...

Read the full narrative on Howmet Aerospace (it's free!)

Howmet Aerospace's narrative projects $12.6 billion revenue and $2.9 billion earnings by 2029.

Uncover how Howmet Aerospace's forecasts yield a $311.68 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HWM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
HWM 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Before this guidance hike, the most optimistic analysts were already assuming revenue of about US$13.6 billion and earnings of roughly US$3.6 billion, which is far more upbeat than the consensus view and leans heavily on uninterrupted aerospace demand, even though risks like overdependence on Boeing and Airbus could look different once this new profit outlook is fully reflected.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Howmet Aerospace - why the stock might be worth as much as 17% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.